Faria J. vs Brunold M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Faria won a set in 7/8 completed recent hard matches, including a win over Fery and sets against Gea and Vallejo in defeats. Brunold won all five supplied recent matches, but three required a deciding set. Faria is ranked 56 versus 195, and the model gives him a modest 59% match edge. Main risk: Brunold beat Bonzi and Balshaw during his five-match winning run, whereas Faria just lost to Balshaw. Faria has won only three of eight, and no H2H is available. The selection is for one set, not an outright win. No current exact win-a-set price is verified; odds are omitted.