Meligeni Alves F. vs Aboian V.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Meligeni Alves won a set in 7/9 completed recent clay matches and won all seven, including five consecutive Cali wins and victories over Dedura, Hardt and Varillas. Aboian has a set in 4/6 and lost 0-2 to Olivieri and Prado Angelo. Meligeni also won their July H2H 2-0. Main risk: Aboian has won all three Cali matches, including Mena and Soto, and has the better ranking, 340 versus 396. Meligeni needed three sets against Zarate yesterday and previously lost 0-2 to Comesana and Seyboth Wild. His earlier retirement result is excluded. No current exact win-a-set price is verified; odds are omitted.