Cobolli F. vs Musetti L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Musetti won a set in all four supplied recent hard matches, including wins over Arnaldi, Kouame and van Assche this week. Cobolli took a set in 4/5 but recorded just one straight-set win, against Wawrinka. The near-even match model, 51-49, is compatible with choosing the more forgiving one-set market. Main risk: Cobolli is ranked 6 versus 26 and just beat Nakashima; Musetti lost to Zhou and has only four recent completed matches. The 2025 US Open H2H was a retirement at 2-0, verified at source, and is not counted as a completed match. No current exact win-a-set price is verified; odds are omitted.