Cagliari vs Bologna

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 5/6 Cagliari games and 3/5 Bologna games, including 3/3 for the hosts at home and 2/2 for the visitors away. Cagliari's recent home scores were 1-1, 1-0 and 1-2; Bologna's recent trips ended 2-1 at Lecce and 0-1 at Napoli. Main risk: Cagliari just lost 4-0 and Bologna have recent 1-3 and 2-2 home results. Those defensive failures reduce confidence despite the low combined goal model. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted and no proven price edge is claimed.