Morton vs Ayr

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 6/7 Morton games and 6/7 Ayr games, including 3/4 for the hosts at home and 3/3 for the visitors away. Morton's latest five games and Ayr's latest five games each stayed below four goals. Main risk: Morton conceded four to Livingston and Ayr lost 3-1 to Inverness. Both have fragile defences, and a repeat of those results would defeat this line. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted and no proven price edge is claimed.