Nantes vs ASA

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 68%. Nantes won their latest two,97-82 at Evreux and 83-78 over Rouen, and both league home games this season. Their other home win was 76-62 over Quimper. ASA lost their latest three,76-85 to St Etienne,78-89 at Levallois and 67-90 at the same Quimper opponent, and lost all three league away games. Nantes won the two latest H 2 Hs 96-84 and 96-80; the model is 67%. Main risk: Nantes are only 3-2 across five current league games, ASA beat Antibes 85-74 while Nantes lost 73-81 there, and Nantes home evidence is only two games. September cup games are secondary evidence.