Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 71%. Olympiacos are 9-1 in the latest ten, with four home wins, including 89-66 over Anadolu Efes. They have just won 105-100 at Barcelona and 102-97 at Valencia. Fenerbahce are 7-3 but 1-2 away, losing 74-92 at Panathinaikos and 83-98 at Bahcesehir. Olympiacos won the March and May competitive H 2 Hs 104-87 and 79-61; model 68 supports a moderate home edge. Main risk: Fenerbahce beat Partizan 74-65 and Zalgiris 99-80, while Olympiacos recent European away wins were close and two September H 2 H wins were only exhibition support. No current price is verified.