KTP Kotka Basket vs Kouvot Kouvola

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. KTP won all six games since September 29, including 95-89 at Kouvot two days ago,102-81 at Salon Vilpas and 100-89 at UU-Korihait. They also won both home games in that span,87-64 over Bisons and 88-72 over Pyrinto. Kouvot are 1-5 since September 30 and lost both away games,83-91 at Lahti and 91-99 at Honka. Main risk: the latest direct meeting was only six points, Kouvot recently beat Kataja 95-76, and a quick rematch increases adjustment/rotation uncertainty. Model 68 is modest; the stored quote is stale and no current-price edge is claimed.