Koping Stars vs Sodertalje

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Sodertalje won all six current-season games, including 94-85 away at Norrkoping, 91-76 over Jamtland and 85-82 over BC Lulea. Koping are 1-4 and lost both home games, 87-94 to Uppsala and 80-89 to Boras; they also lost 80-103 at Norrkoping. The latest H 2 H ended 101-83 for Sodertalje; model 67 supports the direction. Main risk: Koping won the latest home H 2 H 87-81 and pushed BC Lulea to 91-95 this season, while Sodertalje only won their latest game by three; six games still leaves early-season uncertainty.