Nidaros Jets vs Tromso

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Tromso won two of their latest three, beating Centrum Tigers 123-92 away and TNT Towers 112-82. Nidaros lost their latest seven, all by at least ten points, including 60-91 at the same Centrum venue and 82-96 at home to Baerum; Tromso beat Baerum 115-75. This shared-opponent evidence supports a discounted estimate below model 87. Main risk: Tromso are only 1-3 away and lost 60-103 at Gimle and 68-110 at Fyllingen; Nidaros lost to Gimle by a smaller margin. The latest H 2 H was only 91-85 and dates to March 2025.