Heide G. vs Rodriguez Taverna S.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Heide took a set in 8/9 completed clay matches in the last 30 days, winning seven, including Varillas 2-0, Midon 2-0 and Meligeni Alves 2-0. He is ranked 114 against 443, won their latest listed H 2 H 2-0 in 2025 and is favored 76% by the match-winner model. Main risk: Rodriguez Taverna took a set in 5/6, won five and just beat Bueno 2-1. Heide lost 0-2 to Justo, the older 2024 H 2 H went the other way, and model quality is low despite the ranking gap.