Bejlek S. vs Bouzkova M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Bouzkova took a set in all five completed hard-court matches in the last 30 days, with 2-0 wins over Zakharova, Rakhimova and Birrell and deciding-set losses to Chwalinska and Zheng. Bejlek took a set in 3/5, losing 0-2 to Paolini and Osaka. Rankings 26 versus 32 and the 58% winner model support the set selection. Main risk: Bejlek just beat Cirstea 2-0 and Parks 2-1, and Bouzkova has won only three of five. An older incomplete match is excluded, no H 2 H is available and the recent sample is modest.