Moller E. vs Rocha H.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Moller took a set in 8/9 completed clay matches in the last 30 days, winning six, including Alcala Gurri, Gaubas and Piros 2-1. He also took a set in losses to Neumayer and Dodig and won both listed clay H 2 Hs against Rocha,2-1 in 2025 and 2-0 in 2024. Main risk: Rocha is ranked 105 against 163 and the winner model favors Rocha 59% to 41%. Rocha took a set in all three recent completed matches; that small opponent sample and Moller's 0-2 loss to Taberner temper the set estimate.