Griekspoor T. vs Lehecka J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 81%. Lehecka took a set in 7/8 completed hard-court matches in the last 30 days, winning six, including Collignon and Vacherot 2-0 and Humbert and Bergs 2-1. Griekspoor took a set in 3/5, losing 0-2 to Kotov and Shapovalov. Rankings 20 versus 60 and the 69% match-winner model favor Lehecka. Main risk: Griekspoor just beat Navone 2-0 and Schoenhaus 2-1, and won their 2021 H 2 H 2-0. Lehecka lost 0-2 to Alcaraz; the old H 2 H has limited current weight.