Rottgering M. vs Blanch Dar.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Blanch took a set in 6/7 completed hard-court matches in the last 30 days, winning five, including two wins over Milavsky and a deciding-set loss to Andrade. Rottgering took a set in 4/6, losing 0-2 to Andrade and Basavareddy. Rankings 159 versus 331 and the 56% match-winner model support the broader set market. Main risk: Rottgering has just won two matches 2-0, and several Blanch wins came against substantially lower-ranked opposition. Blanch lost 0-2 to Dietrich and there is no H 2 H.