Tsitsipas S. vs Duckworth J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Tsitsipas took a set in 9/10 completed hard-court matches in the last 30 days, winning eight, including Fritz and Etcheverry 2-1 and Darderi 2-0. Duckworth took a set in 2/5, with straight-set defeats to Draxl, Hurkacz and Sonego. Rankings 39 versus 73 and the 73% winner model support the broader set selection. Main risk: Duckworth just beat Darderi and Kecmanovic 2-0, while Tsitsipas lost 0-2 to Medvedev. Their only listed H 2 H is from 2018 and is not relied on for present strength.