Sochaux vs Annecy

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 5/6 Sochaux games and 6/6 Annecy games, including 3/3 for the hosts at home and 3/3 for the visitors away. Sochaux's three recent home games finished 1-1, 2-1 and 1-0; Annecy's six recent matches all had at most three goals. The expected-goals model totals 2.24. Main risk: Sochaux lost 3-2 at Metz in their latest game and Annecy conceded three at Reims in August. The 2023 5-1 H2H is old but shows the upper-tail risk. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted and no proven price edge is claimed.