Fujian vs Ningbo Rockets

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 68%. Fujian are 2-3 in October, beating Jiangsu 89-85 away and Sichuan 98-96, with competitive losses 94-99 to Zhejiang Guangsha and 104-108 at Liaoning. Ningbo lost all five by at least ten points, most recently 73-103 to Shanxi and 71-95 to Beijing Royal Fighters; they also lost 76-87 to the same Jiangsu opponent. Model 72% supports a modest home edge. Main risk: Fujian themselves have a losing record and their latest home H2H was only 77-76; Ningbo won the latest overall meeting 85-81. Small early-season samples and pre-season context limit confidence.