Chelyabinsk vs Novosibirsk

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Chelyabinsk won all three October games on the road: 90-85 at Tambov, 87-78 at Izhevsk and 93-79 at Metallurg. Novosibirsk are 1-3 and lost both away games heavily, 59-101 at Ufa and 77-105 at Temp Sumz. Chelyabinsk also won the four listed March-April 2026 H2Hs, including two April home games 93-64 and 93-82. Main risk: only three current Chelyabinsk games are available and none is at home, while Novosibirsk just beat CSKA Moscow 2 by 79-64; the 83% model estimate is discounted and older H2H is supporting evidence only.