Jilin vs Xinjiang

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Xinjiang are 4-1 in the five October games, including 107-92 over Tianjin, 95-80 over Zhejiang Guangsha and a 101-93 win at Jilin on October 9. Jilin lost all five, including 86-101 at Zhejiang and 88-91 at home to Sichuan. Recent shared opposition and the direct meeting support the model direction of 71%. Main risk: Xinjiang are only 1-1 away and lost 90-99 at Qingdao; Jilin recently pushed Beijing to 82-84 and won the March 2026 H2H 89-82. The early-season sample includes pre-season context and is small.