Gojo B. vs Altmaier D.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Gojo took a set in 7/8 completed hard-court matches in the last 30 days, winning six, including Fery and Sachko 2-0 and Maestrelli 2-1 in his latest three. Altmaier took a set in 2/4, losing 0-2 to Shelton and Cui. The 56% winner model favors Gojo despite the ranking gap, and the broader set market allows a three-set loss. Main risk: Gojo is ranked 148 against 65 and lost 0-2 to Pinnington Jones. Altmaier just beat Droguet 2-1 and won their only recorded hard-court H2H 2-0 in 2020; the opponent sample is small.