Rovaniemi vs KaPa

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 5/5 Rovaniemi games and 6/6 KaPa games, including 3/3 for the hosts at home and 3/3 for the visitors away. Every recent game for both sides had goals at each end, including Rovaniemi's 1-1 at Tampere Utd and KaPa's 2-3 at Ekenas; the BTTS model is 73%. Main risk: The samples are only five and six matches, and different domestic schedules limit comparability; the sole 2002 H2H is too old to support the estimate. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted.