Rogaska vs KK Krka Novo mesto

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Since September 1, KK Krka Novo mesto won 7/10 decisive completed games with average margin +10.5, versus Rogaska's 2/5 and -9.2. Supporting wins: 92-68 against Helios Domzale on 14.10.26; 83-82 at Perspektiva Ilirija on 07.10.26. Opponent latest results: 74-72 at KK Triglav Kranj on 16.10.26; 67-80 against Gorica on 10.10.26. Relevant venue records: KK Krka Novo mesto 2/2 at away, Rogaska 0/2 at home. Latest available H2H: 21.04.26 KK Krka Novo mesto 92-75 Rogaska; 20.01.26 KK Krka Novo mesto 98-74 Rogaska. The form-based model gives 70% for this winner; calibration is not supplied and early-season, mixed-opposition inputs are treated cautiously. Main risk: Krka lost three of its latest five across competitions, most recently 78-97 to Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet. Its two current away wins were by just one and four points, so the road sample is small despite dominant recent H2H results. Rogaska just won away at KK Triglav Kranj. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.