Dewa United vs Persijap Jepara

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Dewa United scored at least twice in 4/5 completed matches in the last 45 days and 2/2 recent home matches in the same 45-day window. Persijap Jepara conceded at least twice in 3/5 recent matches and 2/2 recent away matches in the same 45-day window. Dewa scored at least twice in each of their latest four games: 2-2 at Persib Bandung, 2-1 over PSS Sleman, 3-1 at Borneo and 2-2 with FC Bhayangkara. Persijap conceded six at Bali United and two at Madura United in their two current away games. The model expected goals for Dewa United is 2.37, as secondary support only. Main risk: Only five current-season games per club are available and Dewa's two recent home games are a small sample. Persijap lost only 1-0 in two of their latest home games; the latest direct meeting was Dewa 1-0 Persijap, so a winning favorite need not clear this team total. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.