Shinshu vs Diamond Dolphins

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Since September 1, Diamond Dolphins won 7/7 decisive completed games with average margin +16.6, versus Shinshu's 2/8 and -3.6. Supporting wins: 90-78 at Ibaraki Robots on 11.10.26; 90-80 at Shimane on 04.10.26. Opponent latest results: 95-102 at Akita on 17.10.26; 76-95 at Shiga on 12.10.26. Relevant venue records: Diamond Dolphins 6/6 at away, Shinshu 1/3 at home. No recent usable H2H; older meetings receive no weight. The form-based model gives 73% for this winner; calibration is not supplied and early-season, mixed-opposition inputs are treated cautiously. Main risk: Shinshu lost only 81-83 at home to NeoPhoenix on October 10; its overall 2/8 record understates that competitive performance. Diamond Dolphins have not played a recorded game since October 11 and some September opposition was weaker; old H2H is not a current-season guarantee. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.