Brooksby J. vs Krueger M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Brooksby J. took at least one set in 3/5 completed hard best-of-three matches in the last 30 days, with 3 wins. Krueger M. won 3/6 and conceded a set in 4/6. Brooksby beat rank-49 Munar 2-0, rank-87 Sonego 2-1 and rank-53 Baez 2-0. Krueger was swept by Mitsui in his latest match and by Shelbayh earlier; Brooksby won their old January2022 H2H 2-1. The medium-quality winner model gives Brooksby J. 60%; that is supporting context, not the probability of this set market. Main risk: Brooksby was swept by Davidovich Fokina and Basilashvili, and has not completed a match for ten days. Krueger beat Smith and Kozlov, and the very old H2H is only minor context. No verified current win-a-set price is available; odds are omitted.