Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. The line landed in 5/5 Wisla Plock and 4/5 Radomiak Radom completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/2 and 1/2. Wisla Plock beat Cracovia 3-1 and Zaglebie 2-0; Radomiak lost 2-3 to Motor Lublin, 1-5 to Lech Poznan and 0-2 to Piast Gliwice. Both clubs have negative league goal differences. Model total expected goals 3.06 is secondary support. Main risk: Radomiak drew 0-0 at Widzew Lodz and the latest H2H was 0-1. Wins over Skierniewice and Grodzisk M. came against different opposition levels, so their high totals are not treated as decisive evidence. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.