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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce

Claude selected Lech Poznan or draw for Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • Lech Poznan or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 84%. Model Lech Poznan 63% + draw 18% = 81%, market-implied 86%; Lech Poznan #2 (22 pts) vs Korona Kielce #8 (15 pts); last 10 Lech Poznan 5-2-3 vs Korona Kielce 5-2-3; H2H last 6: Lech Poznan 4, draws 1, Korona Kielce 1. Main risk: Korona Kielce won 5 of last 10; Korona Kielce won 1 of last 6 H2H.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→6-1
    • Status: pending→won
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