Daejeon vs Gwangju FC

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. The line landed in 6/7 Daejeon and 4/5 Gwangju FC completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 3/4 and 2/2. Daejeon beat Jeonbuk 2-1 and drew 1-1 at Incheon; Gwangju FC beat Ulsan HD 4-3 and drew 2-2 at Jeonbuk. Their three newest H2Hs all reached two goals, without needing both teams to score. Model total expected goals 3.23 is secondary support. Main risk: Daejeon beat Kyoto just 1-0 and Gwangju FC lost 0-1 to Jeju SK; Gwangju's recent away sample is only two matches. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.