Sandefjord vs Lillestrom

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. The line landed in 4/5 Sandefjord and 7/7 Lillestrom completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/2 and 4/4. Sandefjord drew 1-1 at Rosenborg and beat Start 3-0; Lillestrom drew 2-2 with Molde and beat Valerenga 2-0. Their latest supplied H2H finished 3-1 to Lillestrom. Model total expected goals 2.96 is secondary support. Main risk: Sandefjord beat Flint only 1-0 and drew 0-0 with Brann just outside the recent window; cup opponents inflate some other totals. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.