Omonia 29th May vs Anorthosis

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 71%. The line landed in 5/5 Omonia 29th May and 4/5 Anorthosis completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/2 and 2/3. Omonia scored in all five recent games but conceded at least twice in each, including 1-2 at AEL Limassol and 2-4 at Aris. Anorthosis lost 1-3 to Pafos and 0-3 at Nea Salamis. Model total expected goals 3.66 is secondary support. Main risk: Anorthosis won their latest away game only 1-0 at Paralimni, and three of four older H2Hs stayed below this line; the model Over 2.5 estimate is only 64%, so the higher estimate relies on current scoring evidence. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.