Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Nantong Haimen

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. The line landed in 4/4 Chengdu Rongcheng B and 4/4 Nantong Haimen completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/2 and 2/2. Each side has recorded exactly two total goals in every supplied match since September 12, including their 1-1 meeting. Chengdu drew 1-1 with Qingdao Red Lions and Nantong drew 1-1 at Ganzhou Ruishi most recently. Model total expected goals 2.44 is secondary support. Main risk: there are only four recent games per team; Chengdu had 3-2 and 5-1 home results in August, so the low-scoring window may not persist. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.