Flora vs Tammeka

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. The line landed in 5/6 Flora and 6/8 Tammeka completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 3/3 and 3/4. Flora recently lost 1-3 to Levadia and beat Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2; Tammeka lost 2-1 at Paide and beat Nomme Utd 4-0. The September 3-2 and August 3-1 H2Hs also support a three-goal game. Model total expected goals 3.84 is secondary support. Main risk: Flora were shut out 0-2 at Kuressaare, and Tammeka have recent 2-0 results; a one-sided game can stop at two goals. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.