Jurbarkas vs Kedainiai BC

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Since September 1, Jurbarkas won 5/6 decisive completed games with average margin +16.5, versus Kedainiai BC's 2/5 and -9.8. Supporting wins: 84-72 at Rytas 2 on 15.10.26; 91-62 at Mazeikiai on 10.10.26. Opponent latest results: 92-85 against Mazeikiai on 15.10.26; 61-73 against Telsiai on 10.10.26. Relevant venue records: Jurbarkas 2/2 at home, Kedainiai BC 1/2 at away. Latest available H2H: 29.01.26 Jurbarkas 120-82 Kedainiai BC; 02.10.25 Kedainiai BC 94-93 Jurbarkas. The form-based model gives 76% for this winner; its uncalibrated early-season and mixed-opposition inputs are discounted. Main risk: Kedainiai have won two of their last three, including away at Silute, and won the October 2025 H2H. The latest Jurbarkas H2H blowout is not used as a handicap line. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.