Baden W vs Pully W

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 85%. Since September 1, Baden W won 3/4 decisive completed games with average margin +15.5, versus Pully W's 0/5 and -35.8. Supporting wins: 98-56 at GC Zurich W on 06.10.26; 76-70 against Fribourg W on 02.10.26. Opponent latest results: 52-80 against Alte Kanti Aarau W on 11.10.26; 43-110 at Nyon W on 07.10.26. Relevant venue records: Baden W 1/2 at home, Pully W 0/2 at away. Latest available H2H: 22.03.26 Pully W 50-85 Baden W; 24.01.26 Baden W 65-49 Pully W. The form-based model gives 98% for this winner; its uncalibrated early-season and mixed-opposition inputs are discounted. Main risk: Baden lost their latest game at home to Nyon, and only four or five current-season results per side are available. The model's 98% estimate is reduced substantially for roster and sample uncertainty. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.