Iraklis vs AS Karditsas

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Since September 1, Iraklis won 5/7 decisive completed games with average margin +6.3, versus AS Karditsas's 2/4 and -0.8. Supporting wins: 90-73 against Wurzburg on 14.10.26; 64-59 at MZT Skopje on 06.10.26. Opponent latest results: 85-74 against Vikos on 10.10.26; 74-68 against Aris on 03.10.26. Relevant venue records: Iraklis 4/5 at home, AS Karditsas 0/2 at away. Latest available H2H: 31.01.26 Iraklis 93-73 AS Karditsas; 06.12.25 AS Karditsas 80-87 Iraklis. The form-based model gives 74% for this winner; its uncalibrated early-season and mixed-opposition inputs are discounted. Main risk: Karditsas have won both October games, while Iraklis have a busier European schedule. The stored 1.37 price is stale, so its 73.0% raw implied probability is only an unverified historical check and the price is omitted. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.