Estela vs Fuenlabrada

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Since September 1, Estela won 4/4 decisive completed games with average margin +9.2, versus Fuenlabrada's 0/7 and -17.4. Supporting wins: 101-86 at Ourense on 10.10.26; 88-76 at Fibwi Palma on 04.10.26. Opponent latest results: 74-77 at Caja 87 on 11.10.26; 68-79 against Gran Canaria on 03.10.26. Relevant venue records: Estela 1/1 at home, Fuenlabrada 0/4 at away. Latest available H2H: 22.04.26 Estela 80-89 Fuenlabrada; 18.10.25 Fuenlabrada 90-75 Estela. The form-based model gives 71% for this winner; its uncalibrated early-season and mixed-opposition inputs are discounted. Main risk: Fuenlabrada won all three listed H2H meetings since March 2025 and their latest defeat was by only three; Estela's sole fresh home game was a one-point win over Menorca. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.