Altiri Chiba vs Hiroshima D.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Since September 1, Hiroshima D. won 7/7 decisive completed games with average margin +15.0, versus Altiri Chiba's 2/8 and -8.6. Supporting wins: 111-105 against Shiga on 10.10.26; 90-86 at Ibaraki Robots on 07.10.26. Opponent latest results: 74-94 against Toyama on 11.10.26; 97-90 against Osaka on 09.10.26. Relevant venue records: Hiroshima D. 3/3 at away, Altiri Chiba 2/4 at home. Latest available H2H: 15.03.26 Altiri Chiba 91-104 Hiroshima D.; 14.03.26 Altiri Chiba 87-81 Hiroshima D.. The form-based model gives 71% for this winner; its uncalibrated early-season and mixed-opposition inputs are discounted. Main risk: Hiroshima's latest two wins were by only six and four points, and Altiri Chiba split the two March H2H games. An unbeaten start is a small sample and the favourite is away. No current exact price or offered total/handicap line is verified; odds are omitted and projected totals are not treated as market lines.