Cracovia vs Legia

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. The line landed in 5/6 Cracovia and 5/6 Legia completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/3 and 3/3. Cracovia scored against Zaglebie and Termalica B-B. at home; Legia scored and conceded at Jagiellonia, Motor Lublin and Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The two previous Cracovia-hosted H2Hs were 2-1 and 3-1. Model total expected goals 3.64 is secondary support. Main risk: Legia kept a clean sheet against Wisla and won the latest H2H 1-0; the model BTTS estimate is 64%, leaving only a modest judgemental edge from recent scoring and away concessions. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.