Morton vs Queen's Park

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. The line landed in 5/6 Morton and 6/6 Queen's Park completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/3 and 3/3. Morton lost 1-2 to Raith and 0-1 to Dunfermline; Queen's Park lost 2-0 at Raith and Dunfermline. September H2H was 2-1 and April was 0-0. Model total expected goals 2.32 is secondary support. Main risk: Morton conceded four at home to Livingston and February H2H ended 3-2; both defenses are weak over the league season, so low attacking output must persist for the selection. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.