Queen of South vs Ross County

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Ross County scored at least twice in 9/10 completed matches in the last 45 days and 4/4 recent away matches in the same 45-day window. Queen of South conceded at least twice in 4/10 recent matches and 2/5 recent home matches in the same 45-day window. Ross County scored five at Montrose and two at Cove Rangers, with at least two goals in every supplied recent away match; September H2H ended 8-0. The model expected goals for Ross County is 3.66, as secondary support only. Main risk: The 14-0 win over Hearts B and 8-0 H2H are extreme outliers and are downweighted; Queen of South conceded one goal in total across their last two games, and reserve/cup opposition inflates Ross County averages. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.