Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. The line landed in 6/7 Mlada Boleslav and 6/6 Teplice completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 3/3 and 3/3. Mlada Boleslav scored three against Pribram and twice against Brno at home; Teplice scored twice at Hradec Kralove and three at Zlin. May H2H ended 0-2. Model total expected goals 3.11 is secondary support. Main risk: Mlada Boleslav failed to score in their last two away defeats and February H2H was 0-0; cup/lower-tier opponents are downweighted, making BTTS or a home winner less persuasive. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.