Frosinone vs Sassuolo

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. The line landed in 4/6 Frosinone and 5/5 Sassuolo completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/3 and 2/2. Sassuolo scored and conceded in every recent game, including 1-1 with AC Milan and 2-2 at Bologna; Frosinone home scores included 2-1 against Benevento and 3-2 against Venezia. Their September meeting was 1-1. Model total expected goals 3.30 is secondary support. Main risk: Frosinone latest loss was 0-3 at Napoli and they kept a home clean sheet against Como; two of the five latest H2Hs finished 1-0. The recent away sample is just two and the model BTTS estimate is only 67%. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.