Horsens vs Randers FC

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. The line landed in 6/7 Horsens and 4/6 Randers FC completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 2/2 and 3/3. Horsens recent home games finished 2-1 against Vejle and 2-2 with Aarhus; Randers recent away games finished 2-4 at Sonderjyske, 3-1 at Vendsyssel and 3-0 at Brondby. The model over probability of 70% is secondary support. Model total expected goals 3.65 is secondary support. Main risk: Randers failed to score in both latest home losses, while Horsens also lost 0-2 at Copenhagen. Cup mismatches inflate the averages and only two recent Horsens home games are supplied; older H2Hs include 1-0 games. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.