Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Koln

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. The line landed in 5/5 Eintracht Frankfurt and 4/5 FC Koln completed matches in the last 45 days; recent home/away samples in the same 45-day window were 3/3 and 3/3. Frankfurt recent home games ended 4-0 against Braunschweig, 2-2 with Freiburg and 1-4 against Augsburg; Koln conceded at least twice in all three recent away games. Both latest H2Hs reached at least four goals, secondary to current scoring evidence. Model total expected goals 4.43 is secondary support. Main risk: Frankfurt failed to score in their latest 0-6 defeat, Koln had a 1-1 with Werder Bremen, and the 4-0 friendly plus heavy defeat inflate averages; unknown lineups can change the open-game pattern. No verified current price for this exact market; odds omitted.