Dodig M. vs Neumayer L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Dodig won all 6 completed clay matches in the last 30 days, beating Martinez (rank 130), Pellegrino (145) and Moller (181). Neumayer conceded a set in 6/8, including their 10 October H2H lost 0-2; Dodig also won the supplied 2025 clay H2H 2-0. The high-quality model agrees with Dodig for the direction. Main risk: Neumayer won 6/8 himself and just beat Moller; Dodig has a busy recent schedule and six matches cannot establish certainty.