Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Sydney won four of five completed games since September and three of four at home, with wins by 15, 21 and 21 points. They beat New Zealand 95-74 away in September and won eight of ten listed H2Hs. New Zealand are 5/9 currently and 3/6 away, losing 84-100 at Perth last time. Main risk: Sydney just lost 78-84 at home to Adelaide, while New Zealand beat Adelaide 88-72 away earlier this month. Sydney have only five current games, some H2Hs are old, and no verified odds are available; the model 76% is discounted.