Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Besiktas

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 68%. Hapoel Tel Aviv won seven of ten completed games since September and four of five at home, including 102-98 over Real Madrid and 85-67 over Hapoel Beer Sheva. Besiktas are 4/10 and 3/7 away, most recently losing 63-88 at Turk Telekom. Hapoel won four of five listed H2Hs, though those meetings are older. Main risk: several current home wins were only 2-4 points, Hapoel lost at Valencia last week, and Besiktas recently won away at Baskonia and Maccabi. Close margins and absent verified odds reduce the model 73%.