Aris vs Tortona

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Aris won five of nine completed games since September, including the latest two at home: 88-58 over AEK Athens and 93-80 over San Pablo Burgos. They are 4/6 at home in that window, while Tortona lost all four away games, most recently 86-93 at Reggiana and 70-108 at BC Roma. The model 74% agrees with the venue edge. Main risk: Aris lost at AS Karditsas and twice at home in September, Tortona beat Le Mans 89-83 last week, and no H2H or verified current price is available; mixed competition strength reduces the estimate.