Pavlovic L. vs Schoolkate T.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 71%. Schoolkate took a set in 7/8 completed hard-court matches in the last 30 days, including three-set losses to Sweeny (rank 112) and Mayot (186). Pavlovic conceded a set in 4/8, with recent straight-set wins mainly against substantially lower-ranked opponents. Rank 155 versus 207 and the medium-quality model support Schoolkate for a set. Main risk: Schoolkate lost his latest two matches and another meeting with Mayot 0-2, while Pavlovic also has a 7/8 set record. No H2H is available.